Tuesday, April 7, 2020

Wuhan Lockdown Lifted



China has lifted the lockdown in Wuhan province today after 11 weeks. It could be a great symbol of how pandemics can be controlled by strong measures, or it could be too early and lead to a new flare-up. I am very curious to see what happens there.

In Europe, Germany posted their first drop in active cases, and Switzerland continues to improve. There are early signs in the numbers that we may begin to see sublinear growth in Europe in the near future, but the data is not conclusive yet. We may be seeing noise, or simply a realignment to a lower linear growth rate.

In the US, Wisconsin held primary elections today despite strong protests from the Democrats. Results will not be reported until the 13th. It remains to be seen how this affected turnout. In South Carolina, Governor McMaster finally made an official stay at home order yesterday, after many in the state had already begun. The state had already shifted to a linear growth model over the past week, but it is still good to have the leadership on board.

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