Friday, March 27, 2020

Good News from Switzerland

Big news today- Switzerland has managed to REDUCE their number of active cases of COVID-19! It's too early to tell if this will be a regular trend yet, but it is an amazing accomplishment for their management that they managed to turn from an average 25% daily increase just a week ago to the point that there are more people who recovered than tested positive.

Other Western European countries are showing steadily low rates of growth, with Spain getting extra recognition for finally getting down to 10% growth after very recently looking like they would be the next place to break down like Italy. Speaking of Italy, their number of cases is still growing, but they have managed to maintain their growth rate under 10% for six straight days.



The US is not looking nearly as good. Today, they crossed 100,000 total confirmed cases. While the national growth percentage continues in the low 20s, that is mostly due to NY and WA keeping their numbers lower. Discounting those two states, the rest of the nation is still averaging 28% growth rate for the past few days.

Below, you can see the growth rates for individual states for today and the average over the past few days. For reference, I have also colored the state names based on whether they have a Democratic governor (blue) or a Republican governor (red). This is relevant, since Trump has increasingly made it clear that he will direct aid and supplies based on how much he likes the governor and how much they toady up to him.

Also, to the right you will see if the state has a shutdown/shelter-in-place order. In many states where the governor has not called for a shelter-in-place, local cities and counties have issued their own. Sometimes, if your president and your governor are unwilling to lead, your county commissioner has to be the hero. You may notice some correlation with the governor's party affiliation here (or mayor, in the case of DC). There is also some good correlation with the average infection rate (though some states have issued the order too recently to have had an effect on confirmed cases).

No comments:

Post a Comment