Monday, November 7, 2016

Swing State Predictions

My analysis of the key states that pundits are talking about. Anyone that I'm missing that you're curious about? Let me know in the comments.



That puts Clinton at a solid 317 EV with a good shot at 347.


As a side note, I didn't have a lot of info to work with. Less than half what I saw 4 and 8 years ago, and almost all of it from universities and other high-variance pollsters. Big names like ORG, Fox, and Survey USA almost completely stopped polling more than a month ago, and many other reliable pollsters are totally absent this time around. Curious....

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